ORIGINAL PAPER
Forecasting the number of passengers traveling by international air transport in the United States for 2021
 
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1
Szef Zarządu Organizacji i Uzupełnień – P1, Sztab Generalny WP
2
Ministerstwo Obrony Narodowej
Publication date: 2021-10-06
 
NSZ 2021;16(3)
 
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ABSTRACT
The article presents a research problem that focuses on forecasting the number of passengers transported by international air transport in the United States - in terms of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and maintaining economic security. The research began with an analysis of the literature on issues such as transport, forecasting and economic security. Then, an analysis and evaluation of the time series of the number of passengers transported by international air transport in the United States from January 1, 2019 to May 2, 2021 was performed. The obtained assessment allowed for the selection of the forecasting method for the considered retrospective data. The forecast for the period from May 3 to December 31, 2021 was subjected to a comparative analysis with the same type of data from the same time period from 2019. The obtained assessment allowed to achieve the goal adopted in the study.
eISSN:2719-860X
ISSN:1896-9380