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2/2021 vol. 16
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ORIGINAL PAPER
Forecasting in the sphere of real estate purchase in Poland for 2021 in terms of economic security
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1
Wojskowa Akademia Techniczna, Wydział Bezpieczeństwa, Logistyki i Zarządzania
 
2
Szef Zarządu Organizacji i Uzupełnień - P1, Sztab Generalny
 
 
Publication date: 2021-06-30
 
 
NSZ 2021;16(2):23–37
DOI: https://doi.org/10.37055/nsz/139361
 
 
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KEYWORDS
real estate prices
COVID-19
the impact of COVID-19 on housing prices in Poland
forecasting
economic security
 
ABSTRACT
The study analyzes the price of 1 m2 of usable floor area of a residential building completed in Poland on a quarterly basis from 1999 to 2020. Patterns in the form of a trend were detected. It was confirmed by the constructed zero-one multiple regression model consisting of nine predictors. Multiple R2 of this model was 0.96. Additionally, the model was used to forecast the price of 1 m2 of usable floor area of a residential building completed in Poland on a quarterly basis for 2021. The last stage of the research was to evaluate the forecast obtained by calculating the MAPE index.
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eISSN:2719-860X
ISSN:1896-9380
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